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Disclaimer: I am not a registered investment, legal or tax advisor or a broker/dealer. All investment/financial opinions expressed by BRR, are from personal research and experience of the writer, and are intended as educational material. JOBY Aviation ($RTP), Joby, a transportation company developing an all-electric, vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, intended to operate as a commercial passenger aircraft in 2024, looking to go public with SPAC company RTP, which was founded by the founders of LinkedIn, Zynga. Began in 2009, explored tech like electric motors, flight software, lithium-ion batteries. In 2012 they were selected to collaborate with NASA on electric flight projects, including the X-57 and LEAPTech. They created their prototype in 2015, and by 2017 they created their first full scale prototype, in 2019 they created their first production prototype, over 1, 000 test flights, on track to certify the aircraft for commercial operations in 2024. In 2020 t he US Air Force granted its first ever eVTOL airworthiness certification to Joby.
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Traveling at 5x the speed of sound, hypersonic technology has been a major focus for Lockheed, and we should expect major news in the upcoming earnings. Lockheed has won major contracts for hypersonic already: Link Their latest successful test was on August 8. Lockheed holds an enormous advantage in this category, and should see the bulk of hypersonic contracts moving forward. Aerojet Rocketdyne - Lockheed recently purchased AJRD for about $5B. Lockheed competes against SpaceX in the reusable rockets space - particular for satellites, and this purchase enables them to have a leg up over SpaceX when it comes to upcoming NASA or Space Force contracts. Costs savings too should be a huge boost. This needs to be approved by President Biden, which we should see news on in the early weeks of his new administration. Super bullish that they are focusing their $18B in M&A dry powder towards Space investments. Investors will be looking to the Space line item in the earnings report to evaluate Lockheed's earnings.
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As a long ARK Invest holder (in all ETFs) and as an RTP holder, I would love to see them in the upcoming ARKX, now that the merger is confirmed and they are operational, certified and the leader in the sector (despite ARK holding their competition). This was a run ride! Looking forward to sharing my next DD. Cheers 🍻🍻
2B contract for laser technology for Helios lasers. Hypersonic: I will talk more about this later, but very interesting tech being produced. $800M in funding for research in the latest budget and $100s of millions in other ancillary hypersonic research/deployment. Space: This is the most interesting vertical for Lockheed and going to be a catalyst for earnings. Lockheed is already cleared for producing spacecraft for landing on the moon, and is currently planning to announce new technology in June for returning people to the moon by 2024. I highly recommend reading through Lockheed's website on Space material. This is a new industry for Lockheed and a new line item in the defense budget, and is something investors will be looking at closely. Lockheed needs to diversify their revenues, and Space is an easy way for them to grow - already seeing $2. 8B quarterly revenues. They are dominating the Space Force budget, and proving to be leaders in this category. A few callouts: Lockheed is working with Blue Origin, NOC, and a few other contractors on a human landing system for the moon.
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The momentum didn't happen as I had hoped or expected, and I think it was due to the sell off pressure this week, sector changing/profit taking from tech to value etc, plus now the additional GME pressure. So my final analysis here would be, moving funds into some leaps (once available), and not hold shares, due to opportunity costs. I do believe eVTOL is in our future, without a second guess. I will pick up some Oct calls as they are what is available furthest out as of today, and roll out as needed. I do believe by 2023, this company will be fully operational in somewhere like LA, and will rapidly grow as it grows as a sector. With increased growth in autonomy and AI, I can see Joby leading forward as the leader in the eVTOL, as they are miles ahead of any of their competitors. Personally, as stated, I will now be moving into option long calls/leaps, as I am a firm believer in opportunity cost. Hoping to see Joby really execute everything they have planned, and to see this sector grow rapidly.
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